Probability that one initial case leads to an outbreak that eventually dies out (stochastic extinction)

Probability that one initial case leads to an outbreak that eventually dies out (stochastic extinction)

Usage

pExtinct(R, k)

Arguments

R

Reproduction number: mean of negative binomial offspring distribution

k

Dispersion parameter of negative binomial offspring distribution

Value

The probability of outbreak extinction

Author

Damon Toth

Examples

# Probability that a single case leads to an extinct outbreak when the offspring distribution
# is negative binomial with mean 2 and dispersion parameter 0.5:
pExtinct(R=2,k=0.5)
#> [1] 0.6403882