14-Day COVID-19 Forecast for Utah

Introduction

Using case count data published by the Utah DHHS and the epiworldR package, we calibrate and run an SIR connected model to generate a COVID-19 forecast for Utah. The 14-day forecast updates automatically each week.

COVID-19 Forecast

Here is the forecast mean along with the 50% and 95% confidence intervals. The actual case counts are plotted in black, while the forecast is plotted in blue.

Acknowledgements

This forecast was developed jointly by Andrew Pulsipher and George Vega Yon as part of the EpiForeSITE project.